An Analysis Of Climate Adaptation By Livestock Farmers In The Asian Tropics

This paper explores how southeast Asia farmers adapt to climate change. We develop three models: a logit model of livestock choice, an OLS model of total livestock value, and a multinomial logit model of species choice. The data were collected from five countries in Southeast Asia. We find that climate has a significant impact on farmers’ livestock choice. We use three climate projections to predict future impacts. Climate change would increase the probability of raising livestock. However, the total value of livestock owned per livestock farm will shrink 9%–10%. Climate change will cause farmers to choose smaller animals such as ducks, goats, and chicken rather than larger animals.