The Fast Potential Evaluation Method of Enhanced Oil Recovery Based on Statistical Analysis

Based on a large number of empirical statistics of tertiary oil recovery technology in China, including polymer flooding, chemical flooding, gas flooding, in situ combustion, steam flooding, ect., 22 key reservoir parameters were filterized. Five levels of quantitative screening criteria were developed for different tertiary oil recovery methods. The mean algorithm for the downward approximation and the grey correlation theory were used in this paper to quickly select the appropriate tertiary oil recovery method for the target blocks, which provides a preferred development method for subsequent potential evaluation. In the rapid analogy evaluation method of tertiary oil recovery potential, the total similarity ratio between the target block and the example block is determined. The target block is matched with the appropriate instance block according to the total similarity ratio value, using 80% as the boundary. The ratio of the geological reserves is used to predict the oil recovery interval, the actual annual injection data, and the economic profit, thus quickly predicting the economic potential of the tertiary oil recovery technology in the target block. Currently, our research team has integrated these two methods into the tertiary oil production potential evaluation software EORSYS3.0. The empirical analysis shows that this method is reasonable and the conclusion is reliable. In addition, the actual enhanced recovery value is within the effective range predicted by the method. The method and results of this paper will provide an important decision-making reference for the application and sustainable development of China Petroleum’s main tertiary oil recovery technology in the next 5–10 years.