Forward modeling of Ceres' Gravity Field for Planetary Protection Assessment

The Dawn spacecraft arrived at the dwarf planet Ceres in early 2015 after a two and a half-year cruise in deep space after departing Vesta. The nominal plan for Dawn included successively lower science orbits, the last of which is called the Low Altitude Mapping Orbit that also serves as the disposal orbit after the end of mission. Prior to Dawn’s arrival at Ceres, it was identified that Dawn would have to meet planetary protection requirements at Ceres by remaining on a stable orbit for 20 years past the end of the mission. With little a priori knowledge on Ceres’ interior we analyzed what gravitational perturbations influence the long-term dynamical evolution of Dawn around Ceres and validated that the gravitational model of Ceres with the then-current best estimate of the density distribution model does not exceed the permissible bounds. The forward modeling of gravity fields from various shape models and density distribution was deemed valid to satisfy the planetary protection guidelines. This analysis was further confirmed after a new shape model based on the actual optical images was created. The gravity field as measured in the High Altitude Mapping Orbit also fits within the bounds of gravitational field studied pre-arrival at Ceres to substantiate our methodology used to satisfy the planetary protection requirement.