An Analysis of Time Choice Behavior of Drivers: Data and Model
2014
This paper analyzes drivers' time choice behavior based on traffic records of expressways in Fujian Province. It was found that drivers tend to start their trips between 8a.m.-7p.m., when the travel time is less than 7 hours. They are apt to depart from 0-8 a.m. or 7-12p.m., when the travel time is between 8-15 hours. However, the drivers tend to start their trips according to their daily routine, when the travel time is more than 16 hours. With cumulative prospect theory as a tool, this study also proceeds to construct a model on the basis of the drivers' actual arrival time. The result shows that drivers prefer to arrive earlier rather than later than the anticipated arrival time. Furthermore, drivers find it more acceptable to be much earlier than the anticipated time than being slightly later than the anticipated time. Short distance drivers are more likely attempt to arrive near the anticipated time. KEY WORD: time choice behavior; travel time; cumulative prospect theory; anticipated arrival time
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