The Impact of Weather on the Construction Sector Output Variations, 1955-1989

This paper uses semiparametric time-series methods to model the non-linear effects of weather variations on the output growth rate of the construction sector. The study is undertaken at both the annual and quarterly frequencies; the results show that weather shocks have significant effects on both the annual and quarterly growth rate of construction output. Such sector-specific growth shocks are likely to have an independent effect on macroeconomic fluctuations.