Prediction calculations for the first criticality of the HTR-PM using the PANGU code

The high-temperature reactor pebble-bed module (HTR-PM) is a modular high-temperature gas-cooled reactor demonstration power plant. Its first criticality experiment is scheduled for the latter half of 2021. Before performing the first criticality experiment, a prediction calculation was performed using PANGU code. This paper presents the calculation details for predicting the HTR-PM first criticality using PANGU, including the input model and parameters, numerical results, and uncertainty analysis. The accuracy of the PANGU code was demonstrated by comparing it with the high-fidelity Monte Carlo solution, using the same input configurations. It should be noted that keff can be significantly affected by uncertainties in nuclear data and certain input parameters, making the criticality calculation challenge. Finally, the PANGU is used to predict the critical loading height of the HTR-PM first criticality under design conditions, which will be evaluated in the upcoming experiment later this year.