Monte Carlo approach to define the refrigerator capacities for JT-60SA

Abstract The JT-60SA cryogenic system shall provide refrigeration to keep the superconducting magnets and their structures at 4.4 K, cryo-pumps at 3.7 K, thermal shields at 80–100 K, and deliver a flow of 50 K helium to the current leads. A Monte Carlo method is proposed to determine the capacity contingencies for the refrigeration system. Attributing individual contingencies and distribution probability functions to the design variables allows the different load contributions to be statistically averaged. The total refrigeration contingency is derived for each temperature level from the 95% confidence level of the integrated distribution function.