Regional inequality of total factor CO2 emission performance and its geographical detection in the China’s transportation industry

The total factor CO2 emission performance (TFCEP) of transportation industry has received increasing research interests, while existing literature pays little attention to its regional inequality and driving factors. In order to uncover the regional inequality of TFCEP in China's transportation industry, this paper used Theil index and combined with geographical detector model (GDM) to explore the driving factors and their interactions on TFCEP in Chinese transportation industry. The results revealed that the TFCEP of transportation industry showed a promising increase during 2003-2017 with an annual growth rate of 0.12%, and the improvement was contributed by the technical efficiency change. The TFCEP in the Eastern region performed better than that in the Northeast, Central, and Western region. Regional inequality of TFCEP did exist and exhibited an obvious downward trend. The within-region inequality had a greater impact on the inequalities than between region. Freight turnover was the main driving factor of TFCEP in the transportation industry, followed by the energy intensity and per-capita GDP. In the Eastern and Western regions, freight turnover had the greatest impact on TFCEP, while in the Central and Northeastern regions, urbanization rate and energy intensity were the dominant factors, respectively. The interactions between energy intensity and freight turnover were highly influential. This paper provides important insights for different regions to formulate targeted carbon emission reduction policies.