Contagion Effect in Stock Markets-A Study on SAARC Nations

Financial infection of one country may affect the other country economics, in this aspect, the study planned to investigate the US 2007 crisis effects on stock markets of SAARC Nations, during the Study period April 2005 to March 2015. Five sample indices, namely, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), CSE 30, ASPI, KSE 30 and BSE Sensex were selected from US, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Pakistan and India for analysing the contagion effects using Descriptive statistics, Augmented Dickey Fuller Test, GARCH (1, 1) Model, Johansen Co-integration Test and Granger Causality Test. The results of GARCH (1, 1) Model explained all the sample indices were volatile but the BSE Sensex recorded high volatility comparing other indices and Dow Jones Industrial Average (US) Co-integrated with SAARC nations Stock Market Indices was found from Johansen Co-integration Test, it is to be noted that the US 2007 crisis affected the SAARC Nations Stock Markets. Hence the investors of SAARC nations Stock markets should analyze the market conditions of other nations before investing in the market.