Raining Rocks: An analytical formulation for collision timescales in planetary systems.

The collision of minor bodies (such as comets or asteroids) with planets plays an essential role in a planetary system's evolution. We present an analytic formulation ($\Gamma_{\rm coll}$) to determine the collision timescale for a minor body to impact a planet, for arbitrary geometry. We focus on the collision rate of minor bodies around a Jupiter-like planet as a proof of concept. Using \texttt{REBOUND} package, we perform a series of detailed N-body simulations to model the collisions, and show that our analytic formulation, ($\Gamma_{\rm coll}$) is consistent with the numerical results. On the other hand, the often-used \"Opik method for impact rates in the solar system ($\Gamma_{\rm opik}$), overestimates the collision rate by orders of magnitude, and is qualitatively different than the analytical formulation ($\Gamma_{\rm coll}$) and numerical simulations. We thus conclude that the function $\Gamma_{\rm coll}$ provides a succinct, and accurate alternative to the numerical calculations.