Time Series Analysis of Rainfall for Puri District of Odisha Using ARIMA Modelling

The importance of rainfall for crop is very precious to get the good yield. Timely prediction of rainfall will enlighten the farmers for crop planning. In this research article, time series analysis of rainfall is carried out for Puri District. Suitable ARIMA model is identified on the basis of parameters. The data of Kharif rainfall showed a good result with ARIMA (1, 1, 1). The variability in prediction and actual is identified which provides consistency of model. August month received the highest average precipitation of 332.32 mm, whereas December received the lowest precipitation of 5.35 mm. Future crop plan and different agronomic practices for crops can be done accurately after the prediction of rainfall.