Analysis and Prediction About the Relationship of Foreign Exchange Market Sentiment and Exchange Rate Trend

This paper aims at finding the relationship between the market sentiment and the market trend in the foreign exchange market, and predicting the future trend of the market in a specific time period. We analyze the market sentiment through the broadcast news, and use the polynomial naive byes model to classify the sentiment of the news. We set several time windows, and use time series analysis to predict the future market trend within the time window.