Self-adaptive trajectory prediction for improving traffic safety in cloud-edge based transportation systems

Intelligent transportation brings huge benefits to humans’ life and Industrial production in terms of vehicle control and traffic management. Now, the development of edge-cloud computing has once again promoted intelligent transportation into a new era. However, the development of intelligent transportation inevitably produces a large amount of data, which brings new challenges to data privacy protection and security. In this paper, we propose to develop an improved trajectory prediction framework based on the self-adaptive trajectory prediction model (SATP), which could significantly enhance traffic safety in transportation systems. The proposed framework is capable of guaranteeing the accurate trajectory prediction of moving target under different application scenarios. In particular, to reduce the size of original trajectory point data collected by sensors, the angle change and minimum description length (MDL) principle are first combined to remove the redundant points in raw trajectories. The obtained points can then be reduced for model using the two-step clustering method. To further enhance the prediction performance, we add the “self-transfer” to the original model to solve the problems that the state of original SATP model may be discontinuous. Furthermore, we propose to develop a trajectory complementation method based on Bezier curve to improve the prediction accuracy. Finally, by comparing the two-step clustering method with the commonly-used SinglePass and density-based clustering method (DBCM) algorithms, the proposed two-step clustering policy greatly reduce the time cost of clustering. At the same time, by comparing the improved SATP model with the original model, the results show that the improved SATP method can greatly improve the speed of prediction model.