Simulation of Intragroup Alignment Using a New Model of Opinion Dynamics.

We performed a social simulation using the opinion dynamics theory that incorporates trust and distrust. In this paper, we simulated the invisible primary in the US presidential election as a social simulation. We found that the candidate with strong trust from the voters is advantageous. Besides, when simulating a model that is closer to the actual invisible primary with sub-leaders, it was found that candidates who have strong support from many sub-leaders are advantageous. All of the results we obtained is consistent with the findings of previous studies on invisible primaries. The most of the actual election of the US presidential election results are consistent with this study’s findings.