The Warm Neptune GJ 3470b has a Polar Orbit

2021 
The warm Neptune GJ\,3470b transits a nearby ($d=29 \unit{pc}$) bright M1.5-dwarf star. Using spectroscopic observations during two transits with the newly commissioned NEID spectrometer on the WIYN 3.5m Telescope at Kitt Peak Observatory, we model the Rossiter-Mclaughlin effect and obtain a sky-projected obliquity of $\lambda=101_{-14}^{+29\:\circ}$. Using the known stellar rotation period, stellar radius, and the $v\sin i$ estimate from our analysis, we derive a true obliquity of $\psi=97_{-11}^{+16\:\circ}$, revealing that GJ\,3470b is on a polar orbit. Using radial velocities from HIRES, HARPS and the Habitable-zone Planet Finder, we show that the data are compatible with a long-term RV slope of $\dot{\gamma} = -0.0024 \pm 0.0011 \unit{m/s/day}$. If the RV slope is due to acceleration from another companion in the system, we show that such a companion is capable of explaining the polar and mildly eccentric orbit of GJ 3470b using two different secular excitation models. The existence of an outer companion can be further constrained with additional RV observations, Gaia astrometry, and future high-contrast imaging observations.
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