A WRF-CMAQ modeling of atmospheric PAH cycling and health risks in the heavy petrochemical industrialized Lanzhou valley, Northwest China

Abstract Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) are omnipresent air pollutants with mutagenic and carcinogenic characteristics. Lanzhou city in Northwest China, where the first photochemical smog incident occurred in China, is located in an area characterized by mountain-valley topography. The city has been known as a heavy and petrochemical industry base and heavily contaminated by PAHs. There are large knowledge gaps in the understanding of atmospheric environmental fate of PAHs in Lanzhou city due to sparse observation data. We performed extensive numerical investigations of PAHs for August (summertime) and December (wintertime) of 2014 in Lanzhou city, using the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model, aiming to fill knowledge gaps in the spatial-temporal distribution and health consequences across the city. Strong seasonality in the atmospheric concentrations of PAHs was found, with high concentrations in winter and low concentrations in summer. The modeling results show high days in which daily air concentrations of BaP exceeding the level Ⅱ of Chinese National Standard (CNS) (2.5 ng/m3) in several August days in industrial suburb and urban area. In December, 77% and 80% of simulated BaP daily air concentrations were well above this national standard in the two areas. The modeled NAP and PHE in the atmosphere were predominantly in gas phase, whereas BaP was mainly in particulate phase. It was also found that the dry deposition dominated total PAHs deposition in Lanzhou. The incremental lifetime cancer risk (ILCR) ranged from 4.0 × 10−6 to 16.0 × 10−6, which were higher than the satisfactory risk level of 1.0 × 10−6, suggesting that local residents in Lanzhou city have a potential carcinogenic risk through exposure to ambient BaP. Especially, children had a higher exposure risk than adults. We suggest that the different actions in different regions of the city should be taken by the local government and those industries with high PAH emission, so as to reduce PAH contamination and risk.