State Estimation Model Reduction through the Manifold Boundary Approximation Method

This paper presents a procedure for estimating the systems state when considerable Information and Communication Technology (ICT) component outages occur, leaving entire system areas un-observable. For this task, a novel method for analyzing system observability is proposed based on the Manifold Boundary Ap-proximation Method (MBAM). By utilizing information geome-try, MBAM analyzes boundaries of models in data space, thus detecting unidentifiable system parameters and states based on available data. This approach extends local, matrix-based meth-ods to a global perspective, making it capable of detecting both structurally unidentifiable parameters as well as practically uni-dentifiable parameters (i.e., identifiable with low accuracy). Be-yond partitioning identifiable/unidentifiable states, MBAM also reduces the model to remove reference to the unidentifiable state variables. To test this procedure, cyber-physical system (CPS) simulation environments are constructed by co-simulating the physical and cyber system layers.