Multinomial Logistic Regression to Estimate and Predict the Job Opportunities for People with Disabilities in Chile

In Chile there is a growing interest from society in improving the access of people with disabilities to the labor market. However, applied research on this topic is not abundant. The purpose of this research is to estimate the job opportunities of people with disabilities in Chile. For this, the data from the second Chilean national disability study were used to make a Multinomial Logistic Regression Model that would help to predict the probability of certain variables that influence job opportunity. For the generated model, variables related to the additional income of people (subsidies or extra income), educational level attained, pursuit of studies, and the degree of disability itself were found. It was determined how some variables affect the employment opportunity, particularly, variables related to continuity and access to studies.