Modeling Transportation Network Flows as a Simultaneous Function of Travel Demand, Earthquake Damage, and Network Level Service

This paper summarizes the results of a transportation analysis incorporating a novel approach to modeling variable transportation demand. This approach links the demand for destinations to the level of service available on the transportation network. The paper includes applications to a set of predicted, post-earthquake transportation network configurations for the city of Memphis, Tennessee, and to network damage resulting from a large scenario earthquake in the San Francisco Bay Area.