Optimally-connected hidden markov models for predicting MHC-binding peptides.

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are one of various methods that have been applied to prediction of major histo-compatibility complex (MHC) binding peptide. In terms of model topology, a fully-connected HMM (fcHMM) has the greatest potential to predict binders, at the cost of intensive computation. While a profile HMM (pHMM) performs dramatically fewer computations, it potentially merges overlapping patterns into one which results in some patterns being missed. In a profile HMM a state corresponds to a position on a peptide while in an fcHMM a state has no specific biological meaning. This work proposes optimally-connected HMMs (ocHMMs), which do not merge overlapping patterns and yet, by performing topological reductions, a model's connectivity is greatly reduced from an fcHMM. The parameters of ocHMMs are initialized using a novel amino acid grouping approach called "multiple property grouping." Each group represents a state in an ocHMM. The proposed ocHMMs are compared to a pHMM implementation using HMMER, ...