Postcensal estimates for local areas using current samples with census as the source of sampling frame

Two techniques for direct postcensal local area estimation are introduced in this paper. Compared with existing techniques for postcensal local area estimation the proposed techniques are not subject to any bias due to the assumption of constancy of certain statistical relationships between the variable of interest and the symptomatic or associated variables established at a certain point in time (typically a census). The author notes that "application of the proposed techniques calls for recognition of an integrated design approach at the early planning stage incorporating considerations of survey designs for the census and the postcensal sample surveys maintenance and upkeep of the census sampling frame data analysis and local area estimation requirements simultaneously. When the current samples are continuous and overlap each other a third technique for postcensal local area estimation is also proposed. An example illustrating these techniques in estimating postcensal district population in Hong Kong is given." (summary in FRE) (EXCERPT)