Evaluation for BRT Operation Effect Based on Dynamic Bayesian Networks

The convenience and comfort of public transportation system become more and more insufficient because of its backward management and less technicalization and standardization. According to the gradual introduce of BRT in China, the paper takes the example of RenShouShan-west station BRT in Lanzhou in order to get the operation effect in the traffic jam release as the BRT in operation. According to the uncertainty and fuzziness of residents travel way selection, Dynamic Bayesian Networks (DBN) is used to evaluate the operation effect based on its operation characters and the present situation. The aim of which is to discuss the status and role of BRT in the whole city traffic system.