Travel modeling under foreseeable communications-and-mobility technologies: Part I (short-term view)

Abstract In recent years, one has witnessed rapid advances in communications and mobility technologies. These include breakthroughs in information and communications technology (ICT) on the one hand, and connected vehicles (CVs) on the other. I will review and track the evolution of these advances. Most importantly, I wish to map out the corresponding implications for travel modeling-and-simulation. The discussions will be carried out in two chapters. The current Part I chapter will paint a plausible projection of how the travel modeling community will respond to ICT and CVs as we see it today. The projection is based on existing data and observations, thus lending some credibility to the conjecture. The Part II chapter will speculate on the long-term view, where there is a lot more uncertainty when automated vehicles (AV) join the vehicular fleet. Together, the two chapters offer solid guidelines to deal with what is coming and to deal with uncertainties that are yet to come.