Assessing the future environmental impacts of copper production in China: Implications of the energy transition

Abstract Copper demand in China is expected to grow considerably over the coming decades, driving energy use and environmental impacts related to copper production. To explore the environmental impacts of copper production in China, we used a variant of Life Cycle Sustainability Analysis that combined the Life Cycle Assessment methodology with the Chinese copper demand projections from 2010 to 2050. The results indicate that the environmental impacts of pyrometallurgical copper production are expected to increase more than twofold during this period and remain the largest contributor to the environmental footprint. Secondary copper production emits the least pollutions. Increasing the share of secondary copper production is the most environmental friendly option for copper production. To this end, China may focus on improving the classification of waste copper products and recycling infrastructure for end-of-life management. Hard coal use and production are crucial contributors to climate change in the context of copper production. Cleaning up copper production processes and improving energy efficiency would also help reduce environmental impacts. Energy transition can significantly reduce the environmental impacts of copper production, but it also can increase copper requirement.It does not visibly contribute to reduce human toxicity as well.