Predicting Vt variation and static IR drop of ring oscillators using model-fitting techniques

This paper presents a statistical model-fitting framework to efficiently decompose the impact of device Vt variation and power-network IR drop from the measured ring-oscillator frequencies without adding any extra circuitry to the original ring oscillators. The framework applies Gaussian process regression as its core model-fitting technique and stepwise regression as a pre-process to select significant predictor features. The experiments conducted based on the SPICE simulation of an industrial 28nm technology demonstrate that our framework can simultaneously predict the NMOS Vt, PMOS Vt and static IR drop of the ring oscillators based on their frequencies measured at different external supply voltages. The final resulting R squares of the predicted features are all more than 99.93%.