Multi-Class Logit Regression Model Analysis of the Fertility Willingness of Two Children in Hunan Province under the Comprehensive Two-Child Policy

Based on the “Residents’ Willingness and Policy Improvement” questionnaire survey data of 394 families in Hunan Province in 2017, this study compared the family’s two-child fertility willingness, and used the multi-category logit model to explore the factors affecting the family’s second-child fertility willingness under the comprehensive two-child policy. The factors related to the family’s second child’s willingness to give birth under the two-child policy. The study found that: 1) age, the nature of the work unit, marital status, children’s attitude, the attitude of the elderly, the care of the two children, and the physical condition of the parents, real estate, loans, the level of consumption, and security variable have a certain degree of influence on the fertility willingness. 2) Variables such as gender, household registration, number of dependent elderly, and financial support of parents have no significant influence on fertility willingness.