A Comprehensive Analysis of the Changes in Precipitation Patterns over Beijing during 1960–2012

Precipitation pattern has changed over many regions in recent decades, which may cause the risk of flood or drought. In this study, the main objective is to evaluate the spatiotemporal variability of precipitation in Beijing from 1960 to 2012. First, the mean monthly, seasonal, and annual precipitation series were used to analyze the temporal variation using regression, Mann–Kendall (M-K) test, Sen’s slope, and Pettitt tests. The results showed that the annual mean precipitation had a clear decreasing trend, with the statistically significant decrease in summer (especially in July and August) and significant increase in spring (especially in May). Although the decreasing trend is shown in the precipitation concentration indicators, the temporal uneven distribution of precipitation has unchanged. Subsequently, the precipitation time series at 30 stations over Beijing were used to evaluate the changes in precipitation pattern. The results showed that the annual series for the most rain gauges had decreasing trends with gradual changes. The spatial distribution of precipitation and other indices is geographically consistent, reflecting the principal physiographic and climatic conditions. At the same time, the effects of the terrain and urban development on the precipitation spatial distribution were detected. Generally, the large and heavy precipitations frequently occur in the plain areas, while the precipitation in the mountain areas is dominated by the small and medium precipitation. As a whole, the total precipitation in the plain areas (558.8 mm) was slightly higher than that in the mountainous areas (533.0 mm), while the precipitation in the urban areas (575.9 mm) was much higher than in the surrounding suburb areas (538.9 mm) during 1960–2012. The differences between the plain and mountainous areas during the period of 1960–1979, 1980–1999, and 2000–2012 were 24.2 mm, 32.6 mm, and 17.7 mm, respectively. The differences in precipitation between the urban and suburb areas for the three periods were 32.9 mm, 45.2 mm, and 31.0 mm, respectively, with the amount accounting for 5.51%, 7.66%, and 5.94% of the mean precipitation in the urban areas for the corresponding periods.