Did the unfounded claim that Turkey was about to join the EU swing the referendum

Even in 2016 - before Turkey's latest turn towards authoritarianism - the chances of the country joining the EU before 2030 were remote. Yet this did not prevent Vote Leave from claiming towards the end of the referendum campaign that Turkey was poised to join. This unfounded claim, writes James Ker-Lindsay (LSE), played into voters' existing worries about immigration. It may even have swung the result.