495 Divergent androgen regulation of UPR pathways drives prostate cancer

Background: MLN2480 is an orally administered, investigational small molecule pan-RAF kinase inhibitor currently in Phase 1 clinical development. Here, we built integrated PK/PD/efficacy models to understand the relationship between MAPK pathway inhibition and efficacy as well as the effect of dose schedule in two melanoma xenograft models, A375 and SKMEL-2. Materials and Methods: We fit a one-compartment PK model to MLN2480 plasma concentration time profiles following a single dose in mice. Tumor pERK levels in xenograft-bearing mice, measured by Western blotting following single (A375) or multiple (SKMEL-2) doses of MLN2480 were fit to a direct or indirect inhibitory Emax model, respectively, to describe the PK/PD relationship between the plasma concentration and %pERK inhibition. Activity in each xenograft was evaluated as the percent growth rate inhibition (%GRI), the percent change between treated and control exponential tumor volume growth rates over the treatment cycle. To connect PK, PD, and efficacy for each xenograft, we simulated the PK and PD profiles over the treatment cycle for each dose group, and estimated the averages of plasma concentration (Cavg) and %pERK inhibition, respectively, using non-compartmental analysis. Results: From a multiple linear regression, schedule-related parameters are not predictive for drug effect demonstrating schedule-independent activity. For a variety of dose schedules, the relationship between total dose and SKMEL-2 xenograft growth rate is approximately linear (R = 0.90, p < 0.0001). A sigmoidal PK/efficacy model captures the relationship between Cavg and %GRI for both xenografts. A375 exhibits greater sensitivity than SKMEL-2 to the same Cavg of MLN2480, with the models predicting tumor regression (Emax = 172% GRI) and stasis (Emax = 102% GRI) as the maximal effects, respectively. Both xenografts have steep, sigmoidal PD/efficacy relationships, which show the same pERK inhibition is associated with greater %GRI in A375, and %GRI saturates with residual pERK (EC90 = 38% in A375, 22% in SKMEL-2). Conclusions: Integrated PK/PD and PK/efficacy modeling for MLN2480 response in A375 and SKMEL-2 xenografts shows a strong relationship between pERK inhibition and preclinical activity, and that maximal effect is achieved without complete inhibition of the MAPK pathway. The findings of pERK inhibition-dependent but not schedule-dependent activity provide translational guidance to clinical dose and schedule selection.