Stable development of flue-cured tobacco production in Henan Province based on the background of coordinative development of industrialization,urbanization and agricultural modernization

This paper took Henan province for example by constructing mathematical models to econometrically analyze direct and indirect factors affecting flue-cured tobacco production development in the background of coordinative development of industrialization,urbanization and agricultural modernization(hereinafter referred to as"sanhua").The results showed that the most important influencing factors of flue-cured tobacco production fluctuations are planting area and material inputs,positive effect,followed by natural disasters,negative effect; planting area and yield per unit area were relatively active factors affecting flue-cured tobacco production changes,while urbanization exerts a negative impact on flue-cured tobacco production to a certain extent; the promoting role of industrialization on the fluecured tobacco production development needs to be further strengthened.On this basis,some suggestions are put forward to promote stable and healthy development of flue-cured tobacco production.