DP&DS-LCD: A New Lane Change Decision Model Coupling Driver’s Psychology and Driving Style

Lane-Changing Decision (LCD) behavior is complex, dangerous, and varied by the Driver's Psychology (DP) and Driving Style (DS). For lacking the consideration of DP and DS, the existing LCD models cannot predict the LCD process varying with the drivers and traffic conditions accurately. To deal with the problems, a new LCD model coupling DP and DS, named DP&DS-LCD, is put forward. In the model, a psychological field model is constructed to represent the DP effect on the scene vehicles. And then, K-means and K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) algorithm are respectively adopted in learning and recognition phases to recognize the current driving style pattern. Finally, based on the DP and DS, the multi-Grained Cascade Forest (gcForest) algorithm is applied to predict the LCD behavior. In experiments, DP&DS-LCD is compared with other three LCD models by using the opening I-80 database from Next Generation Simulation project (NGSIM). And the results showed that the DP&DS-LCD model achieved the best performance. Therefore, the DP&DS-LCD model is effective and could provide support for the decision of autonomous vehicles by predicting the surrounding vehicles' Lane-Changing (LC) behavior.