Predicting Final User Satisfaction Using Momentary UX Data and Machine Learning Techniques

User experience (UX) evaluation investigates how people feel about using products or services and is considered an important factor in the design process. However, there is no comprehensive UX evaluation method for time-continuous situations during the use of products or services. Because user experience changes over time, it is difficult to discern the relationship between momentary UX and episodic or cumulative UX, which is related to final user satisfaction. This research aimed to predict final user satisfaction by using momentary UX data and machine learning techniques. The participants were 50 and 25 university students who were asked to evaluate a service (Experiment I) or a product (Experiment II), respectively, during usage by answering a satisfaction survey. Responses were used to draw a customized UX curve. Participants were also asked to complete a final satisfaction questionnaire about the product or service. Momentary UX data and participant satisfaction scores were used to build machine learning models, and the experimental results were compared with those obtained using seven built machine learning models. This study shows that participants’ momentary UX can be understood using a support vector machine (SVM) with a polynomial kernel and that momentary UX can be used to make more accurate predictions about final user satisfaction regarding product and service usage.