Predictive potential of tumour-stroma ratio on benefit from adjuvant bevacizumab in high-risk stage II and stage III colon cancer

The tumour–stroma ratio (TSR) has proven to be an independent prognostic factor in colon cancer. Haematoxylin eosin tissue slides of patients from the AVANT trial were microscopically scored for TSR and categorised as stroma -low or stroma -high. Scores were correlated to the primary and secondary endpoint disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). Patients with stroma-high tumours (N = 339, 28%) had a significantly shorter DFS (p < 0.001) compared to stroma-low tumours (N = 824, 68%). In the bevacizumab-FOLFOX-4 arm, DFS was significantly shorter compared to FOLFOX-4 in stroma-low tumours, with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.94 (95% CI 1.24–3.04; p = 0.004). In stroma-high tumours a trend for better DFS was seen in bevacizumab-FOLFOX-4 vs. FOLFOX-4 (HR 0.61 (95% CI 0.35–1.07; p = 0.08)). For bevacizumab-XELOX vs. FOLFOX-4, this was not seen (stroma-low HR 1.07 (95% CI 0.64–1.77; p = 0.80); stroma-high HR 0.78 (95% CI 0.47–1.30; p = 0.35)). OS showed the same pattern for bevacizumab-FOLFOX-4 vs. FOLFOX-4 with a HR of 2.53 (95% CI 1.36–4.71; p = 0.003) for stroma-low and HR 0.50 (95% CI 0.22–1.14; p = 0.10) for stroma-high tumours. For bevacizumab-XELOX vs. FOLFOX-4, HR 1.13 (95% CI 0.55–2.31; p = 0.74) for stroma-low tumours and HR 0.74 (95% CI 0.37–1.51; p = 0.41) for stroma-high tumours. This exploratory analysis suggests a significantly shorter DFS and OS in stroma-low tumours with addition of bevacizumab to intravenous oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy, contrary to stroma-high tumours, where a beneficial trend is observed.