Transmission of pre-XDR and XDR-TB in the Mumbai Metropolitan Region, India

Background: Multidrug-resistant (MDR) and extensively drug resistant (XDR) Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex (MTBC) strains are a great challenge for tuberculosis (TB) control in India. Still, factors driving the MDR/XDR epidemic in India are not well defined. Methods: Whole genome sequencing (WGS) data from 1 852 MTBC strains obtained from patients from a tertiary care hospital laboratory in Mumbai were used for phylogenetic strain classification, resistance prediction, and cluster analysis (12 allele distance threshold). Factors associated with pre-XDR/XDR-TB were defined by odds ratios and a multivariate logistic regression model. Results: 1 017 MTBC strains were MDR, out of which 57.8 % (n=591) were pre-XDR, and 17.9 % (n=183) were XDR. Lineage 2 (L2) strains represented 41.7 % of the MDR, 77.2 % of the pre-XDR, and 86.3 % of the XDR strains, and were significantly associated with pre-XDR/XDR-TB (P < 0.001). Cluster rates were high among MDR (78 %) and pre-XDR/XDR (85 %) strains with three dominant L2 strain clusters (Cl 1-3) representing half of the pre-XDR and two thirds of the XDR-TB cases. Cl 1 strains accounted for 52.5 % of the XDR MTBC strains. Transmission could be confirmed by identical mutation patterns of particular pre-XDR/XDR strains. Conclusions: High rates of pre-XDR/XDR strains among MDR-TB patients require rapid changes in treatment and control strategies. Transmission of particular pre-XDR/XDR L2 strains is the main driver of the pre-XDR/XDR-TB epidemic. Accordingly, control of the epidemic in the region requires measures with stopping transmission esp. of pre-XDR/XDR L2 strains. Funding Statement: Parts of this work have been supported within the CRYPTIC consortium by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation [OPP1133541] and the Wellcome Trust [200205/Z/15/Z], the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation) under Germanys Excellence Strategy – EXC 2167 Precision Medicine in Inflammation, and the Leibniz Science Campus Evolutionary Medicine of the LUNG (EvoLUNG). Declaration of Interests: None to declare. Ethics Approval Statement: Approval for the CRyPTIC study was obtained from the Health Ministry’s Screening Committee (HMSC), Government of India dated 6th October 2016. Approval was also obtained from the Institutional Ethics Committee (IEC) of The Foundation for Medical Research, Mumbai (Ref nos. FMR/IEC/TB/01a/2015 and FMR/IEC/TB/01b/2015) and Institutional Review Board of P.D. Hinduja Hospital and Medical Research Centre, Mumbai (Ref no. 915-15-CR [MRC]).