Abstract P6-10-14: A new model to predict 10-year distant recurrence risk for operable endocrine-responsive breast cancer population

Background Few currently available biomarker panels can predict the risk of long-term distant recurrence (DR) in endocrine-responsive breast cancer (ERBC) patients based on lymph-node (LN) status. A new model, DGM-CM6 (Distant Genetic Model-Clinical variable Model 6), has been developed for the prediction of DR risk in our previous studies. To interrogate the prognostic value of our DGM-CM6 model for ERBC patients stratified by LN status, we retrospectively studied 752 operable breast cancer patients treated in a cancer center from 2005 to 2014. Patients and Methods Of 752 tumors, a total of 499 ERBC patients was identified from both IHC method (n=490) and PAM50 method (n=404). ERBC patients were classified by high and low-risk groups using the cutoff ( Results Significant differences were observed between DGM-CM6 low- and high-risk patients with 10-year DRFS in LN- (ERBC identified by IHC: P = 0.011; by PAM50: P Conclusion DGM-CM6 model can be used to predict low- and high-risk of 10-year distant recurrence in both LN- and LN+ ERBC patients. This model needs a large scale of clinical trials to validate its clinical utility. Citation Format: Lei Lei, Skye Hung-Chun Cheng, Xiao-Jia Wang, Yin-Yuan Mo, Yun-Yun Zhou. A new model to predict 10-year distant recurrence risk for operable endocrine-responsive breast cancer population [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2019 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2019 Dec 10-14; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2020;80(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P6-10-14.