Phylogenetic network analysis revealed the recombinant origin of the SARS-CoV-2 VOC202012/01 (B.1.1.7) variant first discovered in U.K.

2021 
The emergence of new variants of the SARS-CoV-2 virus poses serious problems to the control of the current COVID-19 pandemic. Understanding how the variants originate is critical for effective control of the spread of the virus and the global pandemic. The study of the virus evolution so far has been dominated by phylogenetic tree analysis, which however is inappropriate for a few important reasons. Here we used phylogenetic network approach to study the origin of the VOC202012/01 (Alpha) or so-called UK variant (PANGO Lineage B.1.1.7). The multiple network analyses using different methods consistently revealed that the VOC202012/01 variant was a result of recombination, in contrast to the common assumption that the variant evolved from step-wise mutations in a linear order. The study provides an example for the power and application of phylogenetic network analysis in studying virus evolution, which can be applied to study the evolutionary processes leading to the emergence of other variants of the SARS-CoV-2 virus as well as many other viruses. SignificanceThe emergence of new variants of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, including the Alpha variant first found in U.K., poses serious challenges to the control of the current COVID-19 pandemic. Understanding how new variant originated is paramount to end the pandemic as effectively and quickly as possible. The dominant phylogenetic tree approach to study virus evolution has been inadequate and even misleading. Here we used a phylogenetic network approach to study the origin of the VOC202012/01 (Alpha) variant which was first reported in U.K. last year but has soon spread into many other countries, leading to dramatic increase in infection and death. Multiple analyses consistently revealed that the variant originated through recombination of pre-existing virus strains, highlighting an important but largely ignored mechanism in the evolution of the SARS-CoV-2 virus so far.
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