Enhanced Prognostic Stratification of Neoadjuvant Treated Lung Squamous Cell Carcinoma by Computationally-Guided Tumor Regression Scoring

Abstract Introduction The amount of residual tumor burden after neoadjuvant chemotherapy is an important prognosticator, but for non-small cell lung carcinoma (NSCLC), no official regression scoring system is yet established. Computationally derived histological regression scores could provide unbiased and quantitative readouts to complement the clinical assessment of treatment response. Methods Histopathologic tumor regression was microscopically assessed on whole cases in a neoadjuvant chemotherapy-treated cohort (NAC, n = 55 patients) of lung squamous cell carcinomas (LSCC). For each patient, the slide showing the least pathologic regression was selected for subsequent computational analysis and histological features were quantified: percentage of vital tumor cells (cTu.Percentage), total surface covered by vital tumor cells (cTu.Area), area of the largest vital tumor fragment (cTu.Size.max), and total number of vital tumor fragments (cTu.Fragments). A chemo-naive LSCC cohort (CN, n = 104) was used for reference. For 23 of the 55 patients [18F]-Fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) PET/CT measurements of maximum standard uptake value (SUVmax), background subtracted lesion activity (BSL) and background subtracted volume (BSV) were correlated with pathologic regression. Survival analysis was carried out using Cox regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis using a 3-years cutoff. Results All computational regression parameters significantly correlated with relative changes of BSV FDG PET/CT values after neoadjuvant chemotherapy. ROC curve analysis of histological parameters of NAC patients showed that cTu.Percentage was the most accurate prognosticator of overall survival (ROC curve AUC = 0.77, p-value = 0.001, Cox regression HR = 3.6, p = 0.001, variable cutoff Conclusions This study demonstrates the prognostic relevance of computer-derived histopathologic scores. Additionally, the analysis carried out on slides displaying the least pathologic regression correlated with overall pathologic response and PET/CT values. This might improve the objective histopathologic assessment of tumor response in neoadjuvant setting.