Polygenic risk, susceptibility genes, and breast cancer over the life course

Polygenic risk scores (PRS) for breast cancer have potential to improve risk prediction, but there is limited information on their clinical applicability. We set out to study how PRS could help in clinical decision making. Among 99,969 women in the FinnGen study with 6,879 breast cancer cases, the PRS was associated not only with breast cancer incidence but also with a range of breast cancer-related endpoints. Women with a breast cancer PRS above the 90th percentile had both higher breast cancer mortality (HR 2.40, 95%CI 1.82-3.17) and higher risk for non-localized disease at diagnosis (HR 2.94, 95%CI 2.63-3.28), compared to those with PRS 90th percentile), and decreased to 27% (15-39%) with a low PRS ( 90th percentile was associated with risk of contralateral breast cancer with HR 1.66 (95%CI 1.24-2.22). Finally, the PRS significantly refined the risk assessment of women with first-degree relatives diagnosed with breast cancer, i.e. the combination of high PRS (>90th percentile) and a positive family-history was associated with a 2.33-fold elevated risk (95%CI 1.57-3.46) compared to a positive family history alone. These findings demonstrate opportunities for a comprehensive way of assessing genetic risk in the general population, in breast cancer patients, and in unaffected family members.