[NEOADJUVANT CHEMOTHERAPY BEFORE RADICAL CYSTECTOMY - MIGHT IT BE OFFERED SELECTIVELY?]

Introduction Neoadjuvant cisplatin-based chemotherapy prior radical cystectomy is the standard of care in patients with a muscle invasive bladder cancer. It is intended to treat micro-metastases. However, most patients do not develop metastases even without chemotherapy and are receiving this treatment in vain. In this study, we looked for pre-operative risk factors for developing metastases that can triage the patients that really need neoadjuvant therapy. Methods From 1998 to 2018, 285 patients underwent radical cystectomy without neoadjuvant chemotherapy. During a median follow-up of 42.5 months, 99 patients (34%) developed recurrent disease after a median duration of 12 months. The study compared 10 different preoperative parameters of patients who developed or did not develop recurrence. Results An increased risk of metastases was found in older patients (39.8% in older than 69 years vs. 33.3% in younger patients, p=0.045), in patients with a high Charlson Comorbidity index (46.2% in 5 and above vs. 28.2% when lower than 4, p=0.003), and in patients with large tumor diameter (p=0.01). No difference was found in the other variables examined including: gender, primary versus secondary tumor, tumor stage, presence of histological variant, hydronephrosis, carcinoma in situ (CIS) or sarcomatoid differentiation. Conclusions Older age, comorbidity, and large tumor diameter predict the risk of recurrence after radical cystectomy. However, overlap between the groups precludes the use of these parameters for clinical decisions. Therefore, neoadjuvant chemotherapy treatment should currently be offered to all candidates for radical cystectomy. Hopefully, future molecular markers will be able to predict the risk of metastases.