Wheezing trajectories from childhood to adulthood in a population-based cohort.

BACKGROUND Wheezing may lead to asthma and reduced pulmonary function in later life. The study aims to identify wheezing trajectories and investigate their relation with pulmonary function and asthma-related outcomes at 22 years of age. METHODS Individuals from a population-based cohort in Brazil (1993 Pelotas Birth Cohort) with post-bronchodilator pulmonary function data at 22 years (3350) were included in the study. From parentally reported (4 and 11 years) and self-reported (15, 18 and 22 years) history of wheezing in the last 12 months, we used a group-based trajectory modelling approach to derive wheezing trajectories. RESULTS Four trajectories were identified: never/infrequent, transient-early, late-onset and persistent wheeze. After adjustments, wheezing trajectories remained associated with lower post-bronchodilator values of pulmonary function. Individuals in the persistent wheeze trajectory had a markedly poorer pulmonary function and also showed greater odds of asthma-related outcomes compared to other trajectories groups. Those following this trajectory had on average -109 ml (95% CI: -188; -35), -1.80 percentage points (95% CI: -2.73; -0.87) and -316 ml/s (95% CI: -482; -150) lower FEV1, FEV1/FVC ratio and FEF25-75% respectively; higher odds of self-reported medical diagnosis of allergy (OR 6.18; 95% CI: 3.59; 10.61) and asthma (OR 12.88; 95% CI: 8.91; 18.61) and asthma medication use (OR 9.42; 95% CI: 5.27; 16.87) compared to the never/infrequent group. CONCLUSIONS Wheezing trajectories, especially the persistent wheeze trajectory, were related to lower pulmonary function values and increased risk of asthma and allergy diagnosis in early adulthood.