Improvement of inorganic aerosol component in PM 2.5 by constraining aqueous-phase formation of sulfate in cloud with satellite retrievals: WRF-Chem simulations

2020 
Abstract. High concentrations of PM2.5 in China have caused severe visibility degradation and health problem. However, it is still a big challenge to accurately predict PM2.5 and its chemical components in the numerical model. In this study, we compared the inorganic aerosol components of PM2.5 (sulfate, nitrate, and ammonium (SNA)) simulated by WRF-Chem with in-situ data during a heavy haze-fog event (November 2018) in Nanjing. The comparisons show that the model underestimates the sulfate concentrations by 81 % and fails to reproduce the significant increase of sulfate concentrations from early morning to noon, which corresponds to the timing of fog dissipation, suggesting that the model underestimates the aqueous-phase formation of sulfate in clouds. In addition, the model overestimates both nitrate and ammonium concentrations by 184 % and 57 %, respectively. These ultimately result in the simulated SNA 77.2 % higher than the observations. However, as the important aqueous-phase reactors, cloud water are simultaneously underestimated by the model. Therefore, the modeled cloud water was constrained based on the MODIS Liquid Water Path (LWP) observations. Results show that the simulation with MODIS-corrected cloud water amount increases the sulfate by a factor of 3, decreases NMB by 53.5 %, and can reproduce its diurnal cycles, i.e. the peak concentration at noon. Also, the model absolute bias of nitrate decreases from 184 % to 50 %, especially for the nocturnal concentrations, which suggests the MODIS-constrained simulation improved the diurnal pattern. Although the simulated ammonium is still higher than the observation, corrected cloud water lead to the decrease of the modeled bias of SNA from 77.2 % to 14.1 %. The strong sensitivity of simulated SNA concentration to the cloud water provides an explanation for the bias of SNA simulation. Hence, the uncertainties of cloud water can lead to model bias in simulating SNA, and can be reduced by constraining the model with satellite observations.
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