Mortality in Systemic Sclerosis-Associated Interstitial Lung Disease in Brazil: A Real-Life, Long-Term Follow-up Observational Study.

2021 
OBJECTIVES The aim of this study was to identify risk factors associated with mortality in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc), particularly those with interstitial lung disease (ILD), over a long-term follow-up in a large Brazilian SSc cohort. METHODS We conducted a medical records review study of 380 scleroderma patients from 1982 to 2019. Systemic sclerosis ILD was considered in those with evidence of ILD on chest high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT). Causes of death were determined. RESULTS Among the 380 SSc patients, SSc-ILD on chest HRCT was observed in 227 patients (59.7%). Seventy-two patients (18.9%) died during a mean follow-up of 7.2 years since the SSc diagnosis; among them, 57 (79.2%) had SSc-ILD, compared with 15 (20.8%) without SSc-ILD (p < 0.001). Of the 72 deaths, 51.4% were considered related to SSc, and ILD was the leading cause of death. The overall survival rates at 5, 10, and 15 years were 87.9%, 81.5%, and 74.9%, respectively. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a significantly worse prognosis among patients with SSc-ILD than among those without ILD (p < 0.001). Among patients with SSc-ILD, disease duration of less than 4 years (p < 0.001), forced vital capacity <80% at baseline (p = 0.017), and pulmonary systolic arterial pressure ≥40 mm Hg on echocardiography (p < 0.001) were significantly associated with mortality by multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS In Brazilian SSc patients, the presence of ILD was associated with a worse prognosis. The higher mortality among SSc-ILD patients, especially those with a shorter disease duration and forced vital capacity <80%, highlights the need for early screening and closer monitoring before irreversible lung function deterioration occurs.
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