Long-term prognostic significance of ventricular late potentials after a first acute myocardial infarction

Abstract Ventricular late potentials (VLP) have been shown to be independent predictors of arrhythmic events after myocardial infarction. However, many studies have had one or more limitations: limited follow-up period, small study group, possible selection bias, inadequate statistical analysis, or inclusion of patients with previous infarction. The purpose of this study was to assess the long-term prognostic value of VLP in a large group of unselected patients after a first acute myocardial infarction. Time-domain signal averaging was performed in 458 patients (380 male, 78 female, mean age 59 ± 11 years) a mean of 10 days (range 7 to 13 days) after a first acute myocardial infarction. The overall prevalence of VLP was 20% (90 of 458 patients). By univariate analysis a left ventricular ejection fraction p = 0.002) and the presence of an occluded infarct-related artery ( p = 0.006) were the only statistically significant predictors for the development of VLP. During a median follow-up of 70 months, 21 (5%) patients died suddenly, and 11 (2%) patients had documented sustained ventricular tachycardia. The presence of VLP ( p p = 0.02), and an occluded infarct-related artery ( p = 0.045) were the only variables significantly associated with the occurrence of serious arrhythmic events during follow-up. The probability of having no arrhythmic events was 99% at 1 year and 96% at 5 years in the absence of VLP and 87% at 1 year and 80% at 5 years in the presence of VLP (4.6-fold increase in arrhythmic risk; 95% confidence interval: 2.3 to 9.1). VLPs are powerful predictors of serious arrhythmic events in patients after a first acute myocardial infarction, and their prognostic value, although waning with time, persists for at least 7 years. This study also provides further evidence that an open infarct-related artery may reduce the arrhythmic risk after myocardial infarction. (Am Heart J 1997;134:1019-28.)