Evaluating Clinical and Cost Impacts of Achieving 90% HPV Vaccination Rate Against Cervical Cancer in Canada Using the OncoSim Cancer Simulation Model

Background: Cervical cancer can be largely prevented through vaccination against the human papillomavirus (HPV). In Canada, HPV vaccination of school-aged girls started in 2008 and has reached an average rate of 67% across the country. However, this rate is below a current national target of 90%. Aim: We project the difference in lifetime clinical outcomes and health system costs of achieving a 90% HPV vaccination rate versus a 67% rate for girls vaccinated in 2015 using the OncoSim-Cervical model. Methods: The OncoSim-Cervical model (version 2.5) is a microsimulation model led by the Canadian Partnership Against Cancer, with model development by Statistics Canada, to evaluate the impacts of cervical cancer interventions in Canada. It has two parts, the first, the HPV Microsimulation Model, simulates the transmission of HPV between males and females including possible modulation by vaccination and herd immunity, and provides projections of HPV infection and prevalence for input to the cervical cancer natu...