Predictors of operative outcome in patients with human immunodeficiency virus infection and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome

Background: Plasma viral load has recently been associated with clinical outcome in patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS). We hypothetized that, in addition to CD4 lymphocytes, plasma HIV-1 RNA counts are predictive of postoperative outcome. Methods: HIV-infected and AIDS patients admitted to a major teaching hospital requiring invasive or surgical procedures were retrospectively analyzed for postoperative outcome. Preoperative and postoperative immune cell counts including plasma HIV-1 RNA counts were recorded. Chi-square analysis, Fisher’s exact test, and multivariate regression were performed with statistical significance P ≤0.05. Results: Fifty-five consecutive patients between 14 and 62 years of age were admitted in a 1-year period and underwent 64 diagnostic and therapeutic procedures. Fourteen (22%) postoperative infections and 18 (28%) complications other than infection, with an overall mortality of 11%, were documented. Total preoperative white blood cell count ([WBC] P <0.01), preoperative percent lymphocyte count (P <0.01), absolute postoperative CD4 lymphocyte count (P <0.01), and postoperative plasma viral load (P <0.0001) are associated with mortality. Multivariate regression indicated that postoperative percent CD4 lymphocyte count is an independent predictor of both postoperative infection and other complications (P <0.05, R = 0.848, power = 0.9911), while the decrement in percent CD4 lymphocyte count is an independent predictor of postoperative complications other than infection (P <0.05, R = 0.596, power = 0.7838). Conclusions: In accordance with the medical literature for clinical outcome in HIV-infected and AIDS patients, both immune cell counts and HIV-1 RNA counts were found to associate with postoperative mortality. However, the postoperative and decrement in percent CD4 lymphocyte proved to be the independent predictors of postoperative complications.