Prognostic value of baseline and change in neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio for survival in advanced non-small cell lung cancer patients with poor performance status receiving PD-1 inhibitors

Background Advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients with poor performance status (PS) are likely to receive programmed cell death 1 (PD-1) inhibitors, despite limited evidence. The aim of the present study was to report the clinical outcomes and potential prognostic biomarkers in advanced NSCLC patients with poor PS receiving PD-1 inhibitors. Methods We conducted a retrospective study enrolling 101 advanced NSCLC patients from our hospital. Data of patients with poor PS 2-4 receiving PD-1 inhibitors were retrieved from medical records. Patients were stratified based on dichotomized baseline neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), change in NLR (ΔNLR; 6 weeks post-treatment NLR minus baseline NLR), and their combination. The receiver-operating characteristic curve was used to assess the best cutoff for NLR. Multivariate Cox analysis was used to evaluate the prognostic value of NLR and ΔNLR for patients' survival. Results The optimal cutoff for NLR was 4.5. The median follow-up was 25.7 months, baseline NLR ≥4.5, and ΔNLR ≥0, which were independently and significantly associated with shorter overall survival (both P=0.002) and progression-free survival (P=0.004 for NLR and P<0.001 for ΔNLR). Furthermore, simultaneous elevation of the 2 factors was associated with worsened prognosis; patients with both NLR ≥4.5 and ΔNLR ≥0 had significantly increased risk of death [hazards ratio (HR): 10.79, 95% confidence interval (CI): 4.30-27.10] and disease progression (HR: 10.49, 95% CI: 4.39-25.09), compared with both low NLR and ΔNLR patients. Patients with either NLR ≥4.5 or ΔNLR ≥0 showed an intermediate risk for death (HR: 3.12, 95% CI: 1.35-7.21) and progression (HR: 3.45, 95% CI: 1.62-7.36). Conclusions High baseline NLR and increased post-treatment NLR might aid in the stratification of high progression and death risk groups in advanced NSCLC patients with poor PS receiving PD-1 inhibitors.