Suitability of regional development based on ecosystem service benefits and losses: A case study of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration, China

Abstract The comprehensive management of ecosystem service benefits and losses provided by landscapes under land-use reorganization is essential for optimizing and regulating landscape patterns and ecological conservation under rapid urbanization. Of the many studies focusing on the quantification and visualization of ecosystem services, few have explored the visualization characteristics of the different scales related to ecosystem services and losses. In this study, we selected one of the most important urban agglomerations in China—the Yangtze River Delta (YRD)—as a case for the analysis of ecosystem service benefits (which include environmental purification, climate and air regulation, and tourism and leisure) and losses (pollen allergies, air pollution, and the heat island effect) and the spatial patterns of both at multiple scales (grid divisions, administrative districts, and functional areas). We found that the value of ecosystem service losses in the YRD, with a net value of approximately −$42.02 × 106, was slightly higher than the value of ecosystem service benefits. The patterns of ecosystem service benefits were consistent with urbanization processes and patterns, with the natural landscape always serving as the main provider of ecosystem service benefits while the spatial pattern of the urbanized landscape determined the ecosystem service losses. Based on K-means clustering using randomly selected objects as an initial cluster center, we divided the YRD into different functional areas (optimized-, key-, and restricted-development zones) within the grid to create divisions with consistent biophysical properties, thereby avoiding the impact of urban administrative boundaries on the results. To facilitate closing the gap between positive and negative ecosystem outcomes in a politically feasible manner, we also identified functional areas in terms of ecosystem service bundles at the administrative district scale. This study obtains quantitative knowledge of functional areas based on ecosystem services benefits and losses, and helps guide sustainable urban agglomeration planning and development.