THIRTY-DAY MORTALITY STRATIFIED BY THE NOTTINGHAM HIP FRACTURE SCORE

Background The Nottingham Hip Fracture Score (NHFS) is a risk stratifying score that estimates the 30-day and 12-month mortality rates of hip fracture patients. To date, it has only been validated in few centres in the UK. Our study aims to see how our mortality rates compare with those predicted by the NHFS. Methods The Nottingham Hip Fracture Database was reviewed for patients presenting to our unit from August 2012 - March 2013 with a neck of femur fracture. Patient information was obtained from the database and our online electronic patient records for NHFS calculation. Patients with incomplete data were excluded. Results 285 patients were identified, 11 were excluded. 69 (24%) were male. The average age was 82 years. The highest mortality was in those with a NHFS=9 (50%). The high-risk (NHFS≥5) patients had a higher mortality rate (n=19, 13%) compared to the low risk group (NHFS≤4) (n=7; 5%). Conclusions Our study shows that most of our patients had a NHFS 4 – 6, which is comparable to other units. Mortality rates increased steeply from 5% to 16% from NHFS 5–6. A validation study of the NHFS showed that a score of greater than 6 was more closely correlated with high mortality. For NHFS=2, the mortality was 20%. The patient who died was a 48-year old female with breast cancer and 2 previous pulmonary emboli. The published co-morbidities for NHFS doesn9t include PEs and may underestimate a patient9s morbidity. Large-scale nationwide studies to determine the validity of the NHFS are needed. Level of Evidence 4