Fascicular heart blocks and risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes: results from a large primary care population.

Abstract Background Fascicular heart blocks can progress to complete heart blocks, but this risk has not been evaluated in a large general population. Objective To investigate the association between various types of fascicular blocks diagnosed by electrocardiogram (ECG) readings and the risk of incident higher degree atrioventricular block (AVB), syncope, pacemaker implantation and death. Methods We studied primary care patients referred for ECG recording between 2001 and 2015. Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) as well as absolute risks of cardiovascular outcomes. Results Of 358,958 primary care patients (median age 54 years, 55% women), 13,636 (3.8%) had any type of fascicular block. Patients were followed up to 15.9 years. We found increasing hazard ratios of incident syncope, pacemaker implantation, and 3rd degree AVB with increasing complexity of fascicular block. Compared with no block, isolated left anterior fascicular block (LAFB) was associated with 0-2% increased 10-year risk of developing 3rd degree AVB (hazard ratio [HR] 1.6, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.25-2.05), whereas right bundle branch block combined with LAFB and 1st degree AVB was associated with up to 23% increased 10-year risk (HR 11.0, 95% CI 7.7-15.7), depending on age- and sex group. Except for left posterior fascicular block (HR 2.09, 95% CI 1.87-2.32), we did not find any relevant associations between fascicular block and death. Conclusion We found that higher degrees of fascicular blocks were associated with increasing risk of syncope, pacemaker implantation, and complete heart block, but the association with death was negligible.