Dynamic Trend or Static Variable: Shock Index Pediatric-Adjusted (SIPA) in Warzone Trauma

ABSTRACT Background: Civilian studies suggest that trending Shock-Index Pediatric Adjusted(SIPA) values can prove useful in the prediction of trauma outcomes. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the relationship between trends in SIPA and outcomes in pediatric warzone trauma. Methods: Retrospective review of the Department of Defense Trauma Registry from 2008-2015, including all patients age ≤17years. SIPA was calculated both pre-hospital and upon arrival, then classified as “normal” or “abnormal” based upon previously validated thresholds. Patients were stratified into groups based on the trend of their SIPA (1-normal to normal, 2-normal to abnormal, 3-abnormal to normal, 4-abnormal to abnormal). Key outcomes including ICU admission, severe injury, mechanical ventilation, and mortality were then compared between groups. Results: 669 patients were included, mean ISS 12±10. The most common mechanism of injury was blast (46.5%). Overall, 43% were stratified into Group 1, 13.9% into Group 2, 14.8% into Group 3, and 28.0% into Group 4. Those patients with a persistently abnormal SIPA (Group 4) had significantly increased incidence of severe injury, ICU admission, need for mechanical ventilation, and mortality. Conclusion: Trends in SIPA may be used to predict trauma outcomes for children injured in warzones, with persistently abnormal values associated with worse outcomes overall.